1974 AMC 12 Problem 24

Attempt Problem 24 of the 1974 AMC 12 below, then check your answer against the professionally curated solution from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 1974 AMC 12 solutions, or check the answer key.

All problems are used with official legal permission of the Mathematical Association of America (MAA).

24.

A fair die is rolled six times. The probability of rolling at least a five at least five times is
13729\frac{13}{729}
12729\frac{12}{729}
2729\frac{2}{729}
3729\frac{3}{729}
none of these
Answer: A
Concepts:binomial probabilitydice (probability)
Small hint:
A roll is a success with probability 26=13\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}
Big hint:
Add the disjoint cases of exactly five successes and exactly six successes
Solution:
Let a success be a 55 or 6,6, so its probability is 13.\frac{1}{3}. The desired probability is (65)(13)5(23)+(13)6=12729+1729=13729. \begin{aligned} &\binom65\left(\frac13\right)^5 \left(\frac23\right) +\left(\frac13\right)^6\\ &\qquad=\frac{12}{729}+\frac1{729}\\ &\qquad=\frac{13}{729}. \end{aligned}
Therefore, the correct answer is A.
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